Memorial Day Sales Key to Propping Up May Auto Sales

Edmunds forecasts auto sales will be flat in May, but the holiday weekend will be a critical bellwether for the summer selling season

SANTA MONICA, CA — May 25, 2017 — Edmunds, the leading car shopping and information platform, forecasts that 1,527,363 new cars and trucks will be sold in the U.S. in May for an estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 16.8 million. This reflects a 7.5 percent increase in sales from April 2017 and a 0.3 percent increase from May 2016.

"Generous incentives are keeping traffic flowing to dealer lots, but a lot is riding on Memorial Day sales for automakers to keep momentum strong through the critical summer selling months," said Edmunds Executive Director of Industry Analysis Jessica Caldwell. "As long as high inventories continue to drive attractive deals and the economy remains strong, consumers will be in a great position to take advantage of a buyer's market this summer."

SALES VOLUME FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER
Sales
Volume
May
2017 Forecast
May
2016
April
2017
Change from
May 2016
Change from
April 2017
GM 254,104 240,450 244,406 5.7% 4.0%
Ford 239,435 234,748 213,436 2.0% 12.2%
Toyota 219,654 219,339 201,926 0.1% 8.8%
Fiat Chrysler 185,367 194,720 176,176 -4.8% 5.2%
Honda 145,105 147,108 138,386 -1.4% 4.9%
Nissan 130,743 133,496 121,998 -2.1% 7.2%
Hyundai/Kia 129,905 133,932 116,408 -3.0% 11.6%
VW/Audi 46,936 47,507 46,268 -1.2% 1.4%
Industry 1,527,363 1,522,153 1,420,602 0.3% 7.5%
*NOTE: April 2017 had 26 selling days, April 2016 had 27 and March 2016 had 27.

Edmunds estimates that retail SAAR will come in at 13.5 million vehicles in May 2017, with fleet transactions accounting for 19.6 percent of total sales. An estimated 3.3 million used vehicles will be sold in May 2017, for a SAAR of 38.3 million (compared to 3.4 million — or a SAAR of 38.3 million — in April).

MARKET SHARE FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER
Market
Share
May
2017 Forecast
May
2016
April
2017
Change from
May 2016
Change from
April 2017
GM 16.6% 15.8% 17.2% 0.8% -0.6%
Ford 15.7% 15.4% 15.0% 0.3% 0.7%
Toyota 14.4% 14.4% 14.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Fiat Chrysler 12.1% 12.8% 12.4% -0.7% -0.3%
Honda 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% -0.2% -0.2%
Nissan 8.6% 8.8% 8.6% -0.2% 0.0%
Hyundai/Kia 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% -0.3% 0.3%
VW/Audi 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 0.0% -0.2%

More insight into recent auto industry trends can be found in the Edmunds Industry Center at https://www.edmunds.com/industry-center/.

About Edmunds
Edmunds is the leading car information and shopping platform, helping millions of visitors each month find their perfect car. With products like Edmunds Your Price, Your Lease and Used+, shoppers can buy smarter with instant, upfront prices for cars and trucks currently for sale at more than 13,000 dealer franchises across the U.S. Edmunds' in-house team of unbiased car shopping experts provide industry-leading vehicle reviews and shopping tips, as well as welcome all car-shopping questions at our Help Center, via email at help@edmunds.com and on Twitter and Facebook. Edmunds is based in Santa Monica, Calif. and has a satellite office in downtown Detroit, Mich.

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